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Boom or Bust
On April 11, the S&P 500 fell below a level that eliminated the most straight-forward bullish outcome. Here are the most likely alternatives and what breadth (or lack thereof) says about stocks.... >> READ MORE...
 
Skidding Off the Road
In late March, stocks rallied into the ‘where the rubber meets the road’ zone. As the last Market Outlook put it: “This zone is likely where we’ll find out if the bounce has legs or will roll over.”... >> READ MORE...
 
Historic Price Thrust
For only the fifth time in over 50 years, the S&P 500 rallied more than 1% on 4 consecutive days. Right before that, the Profit Radar Report stated: “this week is likely the best window for a low.” What does the price thrust mean?... >> READ MORE...
 
Big Headline Wrong-foots Investors
Last week, the 50-day SMA of the S&P 500 fell below the 200-day SMA. This event is ominously called ‘death cross.’ If you add two filters to isolate similar events, it becomes clear that ‘back to life’ cross is more fitting than ‘death cross.’... >> READ MORE...
 
Will High Oil Prices Sink Stocks and Economy?
Crude oil prices have soared and filling up the gas tank is getting painful. Many spent on gas is not flowing into the economy. Will rising oil prices kill the economy (and stocks)?... >> READ MORE...
 
Clear Crowd Psychology Signal
Despite turmoil, we have not seen outright investor panic yet. Panic (when blood is in the streets) tends to be a good signal that the worst is ever. But even without panic, crowd psychology has given a very interesting signal.... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Downside Target Triggered
Much has happened and yet not much has changed. The diagonal pattern mentioned in the last update has played out thus far and provided further validation and a minimum downside target last week.... >> READ MORE...
 
Will the Shocking January Barometer Come True?
The S&P 500 finished January with a 5.25% loss. According to the January Barometer - as January goes so goes the rest of the year - 2022 should be a tough year. Do statistics confirm this popular opinion?... >> READ MORE...
 
Nasdaq & S&P 500 Update
The Nasdaq-100 tumbled some 17% in just one month before soaring 10%. The S&P 500 reached our down side price target of 4,300, bounced, and created an over-lap that eliminates one bearish pattern. What’s next?... >> READ MORE...
 
How Low Can it Go?
Just this week alone, S&P 500 Futures have popped and dropped more than 100 points 8 times. There are many ways to measure volatility, but is what we're seeing a bear market kick off signal?... >> READ MORE...
 
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