Our models projected elevated risk of a pullback for late January … and the S&P 500 just lost and gained more than 100 points in less than 2 weeks. Does this mean that risk has been flushed out, or should we expect renewed weakness?... >> READ MORE...

Imagine having a simply graphic that visually illustrates when to expect the most stock market risk or the best reward. The Risk/Reward Heat Map is a sophisticated stock market ‘pros and cons’ list that visually expresses risk and reward.... >> READ MORE...

Looking at the universe of stock market indicators, we are seeing two kind of legitimate extremes right now: Momentum has rarely been stronger. Sentiment has rarely been more bullish (which is bearish for stocks). Here is a new tool to assess risk vs reward.... >> READ MORE...

The S&P 500 had closed above it’s 10-day SMA for 36 days, one of the longest momentum streaks ever, but then erased 1 month of gains in only 3 days. What’s the risk and reward going forward?... >> READ MORE...

After weeks of slow and incremental gains, the S&P 500 has tagged trend line resistance going back more than 12 years. In the process, the S&P carved out some bearish divergences. Will this prevent a move above resistance and further gains?... >> READ MORE...

Last month, the Russell 2000 index of small company stocks saw a rare (and consistently) bullish breadth thrust. Although we anticipated it may fail or delay, the Russell 2000 suffered a ‘death cross’ just 16 days later. Which of the two signals is stronger?... >> READ MORE...

Up until yesterday, the S&P 500 was trapped in a tight and boring trading range. Does the emphatic drop below that range mean recession fears will catch up with stocks?... >> READ MORE...

Investors love to hate stocks. This is one of the constants of this bull market. Even though the S&P 500 was just a few percent below its all-time high, some investor sentiment gauges soured to a degree rarely seen in 2018 and 2019. Bears needed to get burned.... >> READ MORE...

For the past couple of months the Profit Radar Report has been highlighting important trend line resistance. The S&P 500 fell 200 points in 6 days after touching this resistance. Can it suffer an ‘air pocket decline’ as suggested by the larger pattern?... >> READ MORE...

Is this rally legit or counterfeit? The Dow Jones and S&P 500 charts are suggesting price is near the moment of truth, where the rubber meets the road. How the S&P and Dow react here, should set the stage for weeks to come.... >> READ MORE...