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Articles
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday November 19, 2020
A ton has happened the last two weeks, but you wouldn't know it by looking at the S&P 500 chart. Technical resistance has kept the trading range it place, and yet there’ve been a number of historically rare signals.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday November 05, 2020
Another first! Wednesday delivered the biggest post presidential election Tuesday pop ever! The S&P 500 gained 2.2%, yet only 45% of NYSE volume went into advancing stocks and only 55% of NYSE-traded stocks actually closed the day higher. ... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday October 08, 2020
After gracing the cover of Sports Illustrated, athletes often experience a performance slump (the Sports Illustrated Jinx). As explained here, mean reversion is a much more likely cause than ‘jinx.’ The S&P 500 may have just experienced a ‘reverse jinx.’... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday September 17, 2020
Confession time: Although I saw a big rally from the March low, even new all-time highs, I did not foresee such a relentless rally to new all-time highs without pullback. However, the recent drop confirmed the concerns I had all along.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday August 27, 2020
Over the past weeks, the stock market has delivered anomalies rarely seen before. I. e., the S&P 500 has rallied with more stocks advancing that declining, or the S&P has rallied along with the VIX. How did stocks do when this happened in the past?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday August 14, 2020
After a 32.8% crash, the S&P 500 has clawed its way back toward its February all-time high. Is the prior ATH strong enough to send stocks spiraling again? Here’s a look at every time the S&P declined 30% or more and got to where it’s at now.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday July 16, 2020
The S&P 500 has been unable to break above or below its trading range for over a month. It was on the cusp of a breakout this week, but does Monday's spectacular failure foreshadow a breakdown?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Monday June 22, 2020
Elliott Wave Theory (EWT) is the most exotic of all financial tools and often considered the odd ball out of technical indicators. While it shouldn't be used as a stand alone tool, it offers insights no other tool can.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Monday June 22, 2020
Investors have a well-documented history of buying high and selling low. Why? The investing crowd feels safe near the top and scared near the bottom. That’s why investors need an objective, non-emotional risk/reward analysis … like this one.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday June 16, 2020
Fibonacci correlations are all around us, in fact, Fibonacci is literally in the DNA of life on planet earth. Humans are drawn to Fibonacci (often subconsciously) and the stock market is a reflection of human behavior. That’s why Fibonacci also applies to tradeable markets.... >> READ MORE...
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