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Articles
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By Simon Maierhofer | Monday January 14, 2013
A crowd follower does the opposite of a contrarian. Like a red light camera, contrarian indicators are effective because most people aren't aware of them. But what happens when - as is the case right now - contrarian indicators go mainstream? ... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday January 11, 2013
The new Prime Minister of Japan, Shinzo Abe, pledged to pressure the Bank of Japan to engage in unlimited QE. No wonder the Japanese Yen has tumbled 13% since September. This is a huge move for any currency. How much lower can the Yen go?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday January 10, 2013
The VIX staged a historic performance over the last 16 trading days. It took 8 trading days to soar 47% and another 8 trading days to drop 43% to a 72-month low. What's next for the VIX and what does it mean for the S&P 500?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday January 08, 2013
Investing is a game of probabilities and the beginning of each new year hosts a number of pretty good barometers with decent track records. Two combined indicators put the odds of a positive 2013 at 87.5%.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday January 04, 2013
The Russell 2000 is like the little engine that could. Despite all kinds of fundamental and economic headwinds, the index most susceptible to liquidity constrains (and obviously QE) is trading at all-time highs. Is this a red flag?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday January 03, 2013
It seems like the stock market is rewarding short-sighted politics and alibi deficit deals, but that's not the case. The stock market seems to have a specific agenda revealed by a little-known but effective indicator.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Wednesday January 02, 2013
The Federal Reserve is devaluing the U.S. dollar. Contrary to popular belief that hasn't resulted in outright or obvious inflation, but as the Gold Dow shows, it is eating away at the Dow's value.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday December 28, 2012
IBM is the Dow's biggest powerhouse and one of the most important companies for the U.S. stock market. The blue chip has shot up 300% in four years and is sitting just above important support. A breakdown here could have far reaching ripple effects.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Wednesday December 26, 2012
Market timers often watch small caps for clues about possible trend reversals, but thus far the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index is going strong. Here's a closer look at seasonality and support/resistance levels for the Russell 2000.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday December 21, 2012
Gold and silver are the de facto "flight to safety" trade. Concerns about inflation (QE4) or the fiscal cliff were supposed to drive precious metal prices higher. This didn't happen, here's why:... >> READ MORE...
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