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Articles
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By Simon Maierhofer | Wednesday April 17, 2013
When you look at this chart you'll inevitably say: "Why didn't I think of that?" Sell in May and go away worked for five years in a row. But when it's too obvious, it must be wrong, right? Here are the S&P 500 trigger levels that suggest May weakness arrived early this year.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Wednesday April 17, 2013
According to the VIX, option-traders are complacent and have been complacent for many months. The bearish VIX implications however, have not been confirmed by two historically accurate options-based sentiment indicators.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday April 16, 2013
Safe haven what? Gold's reputation as a safe haven got dinged nearly as much as investors' gold holdings. After the biggest gold decline in 33 years, Wall Street is struggling to come up with explanations. Here's one explanation for gold's free-fall.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday April 12, 2013
Anytime a stock or ETF drops 50% in a short period of time, it's tempting to bet on a bounce. Such a bounce may be forthcoming for GDX, but to avoid being cut by the proverbial falling knife, it's prudent to wait for a move above resistance.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday April 11, 2013
The QE-bull market rally has resulted in some interesting sentiment readings, but yesterday's AAII poll delivered the most curious sentiment anomaly ever. Was there a mistake and what does it mean for stocks going forward?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Wednesday April 10, 2013
The Dow Jones and S&P 500 were able to recover from last Friday's post unemployment report sell off and posted new all-time recovery highs this week. However, buying climaxes suggest increasing down side risk.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday April 09, 2013
As usual, Alcoa kicked off the quarterly earnings ritual. Corporate profits will be on display for weeks to come, but are earnings a leading or lagging indicator? Here's the long-term effect of earnings on stocks and the one pattern worth watching right now.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Monday April 08, 2013
How can gold prices tumble when central banks continue to devalue fiat currency while buying gold en masse? There's little fundamental evidence that suggested this kind of gold weakness. Technicals on the other hand projected short-term weakness.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday April 05, 2013
The retail sector measured by the SPDR S&P Retail ETF trades less than 1% below its all-time high. But with recent market weakness, it may be beneficial to look at sectors that carry magnified down side risk, such as XRT.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday April 04, 2013
"If it seems too good to be true, it probably is" used to apply to investing. Although this piece of common sense folk wisdom has been eroding due to the Federal Reserve's money policy, there's reason to believe that junk bonds are in for at least a wake up call.... >> READ MORE...
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