Is Dow 16,000 possible. Sure. It's less than 8% away from the April all-time Dow high. But, the mere fact that Dow 16,000 is predicted by one of the most followed money polls, suggests that (best case scenario) getting there won't be easy.... >> READ MORE...

Risk is rising when leaders turn into laggards. After outperforming the S&P 500 for years, the Russell 2000 failed to confirm the S&P's new all-time high on April 10. The stock market in general peaked the next day. Here's an updated look at the Russell 2000 and the Russell 2000 ETF.... >> READ MORE...

When you look at this chart you'll inevitably say: "Why didn't I think of that?" Sell in May and go away worked for five years in a row. But when it's too obvious, it must be wrong, right? Here are the S&P 500 trigger levels that suggest May weakness arrived early this year.... >> READ MORE...

According to the VIX, option-traders are complacent and have been complacent for many months. The bearish VIX implications however, have not been confirmed by two historically accurate options-based sentiment indicators.... >> READ MORE...

Safe haven what? Gold's reputation as a safe haven got dinged nearly as much as investors' gold holdings. After the biggest gold decline in 33 years, Wall Street is struggling to come up with explanations. Here's one explanation for gold's free-fall.... >> READ MORE...

Anytime a stock or ETF drops 50% in a short period of time, it's tempting to bet on a bounce. Such a bounce may be forthcoming for GDX, but to avoid being cut by the proverbial falling knife, it's prudent to wait for a move above resistance.... >> READ MORE...

The QE-bull market rally has resulted in some interesting sentiment readings, but yesterday's AAII poll delivered the most curious sentiment anomaly ever. Was there a mistake and what does it mean for stocks going forward?... >> READ MORE...

The Dow Jones and S&P 500 were able to recover from last Friday's post unemployment report sell off and posted new all-time recovery highs this week. However, buying climaxes suggest increasing down side risk.... >> READ MORE...

As usual, Alcoa kicked off the quarterly earnings ritual. Corporate profits will be on display for weeks to come, but are earnings a leading or lagging indicator? Here's the long-term effect of earnings on stocks and the one pattern worth watching right now.... >> READ MORE...

How can gold prices tumble when central banks continue to devalue fiat currency while buying gold en masse? There's little fundamental evidence that suggested this kind of gold weakness. Technicals on the other hand projected short-term weakness.... >> READ MORE...