Early warnings that 2014 will be a tough year are piling up quickly. Here is another warning that suggests additional losses. Since 1950, the average additional loss once the signal triggered has been 10.9%.... >> READ MORE...

Much of the country is dealing with extreme cold, and seasonality is getting frosty for gold. The gold seasonality chart produces three or four good annual buy/sell signals. One just happened.... >> READ MORE...

There are helpful statistics and there are bogus statistics. This is a helpful one and it actually confirms the message of a variety of other indicators. In the process we also clear a big misconception. ... >> READ MORE...

Believe it or not, gold is one of the best performing asset classes of 2014, but today’s drop is the biggest this year. Here’s the simplest explanation of today’s drop and why eventual new lows are likely.... >> READ MORE...

Market’s sold off following the Fed’s taper announcement and Wall Street was bracing for lower prices, but this trusty little VIX indicator triggered a surprising signal.... >> READ MORE...

Talk about a classic catch 22. The Federal Reserve has been buying Treasuries to depress interest rates and spark the economy. With a bloated balance sheet, the Fed needs the help of its arch enemy to unload assets.... >> READ MORE...

Trading is tough business, but trading the VIX is even tougher, because you are betting ‘against the house’ many times. Here’s how to avoid the force that eats into your profits and make it work for you.... >> READ MORE...

It’s said that buying climaxes take place when stocks are passing from strong hands to weak ones. The facts tend to support this thesis and the notion that late-coming mom and pop retail investors bought their ‘ticket’ just before the roller coaster ride starts.... >> READ MORE...

For much of 2013 the S&P 500 adhered to two repetitive bullish patterns. In 2014 it rejected both patterns. The effect of this change of character is already visible, but will it lead to much more damage?... >> READ MORE...

Everybody knows that everything that goes up must come down. Stocks usually come down when least expected, which is what happened last week. Here are three reasons why this correction should last longer than what we’ve seen in 2013. ... >> READ MORE...