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Stock Market is Fragmented and Confused
Here’s a look at four different U.S. indexes: S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000. Based on the oddball of technical analysis, the four indexes sport two diametrically opposed outcomes, one bullish, one bearish. Here’s the simple solution:... >> READ MORE...
 
Contrarian Signal? Traders are Record Short the VIX
The VIX has been bouncing up and down like a frog on a trampoline. Big moves can translate into nice profits, and that’s exactly what VIX traders are hoping for. A record amount of VIX traders own puts, betting on a lower VIX. A mistake?... >> READ MORE...
 
Can Yellen Shatter This Bearish S&P 500 Pattern?
Janet Yellen’s first public remarks since succeeding Ben Bernanke will be carefully scrutinized. This opens another round of technical analysis vs Fed talk. Will Yellen’s remarks be strong enough to negate or even shatter this bearish S&P 500 pattern?... >> READ MORE...
 
Stock/Bond Ratio Projects Exciting Times Ahead
Are stocks ripe for a deeper correction or is the 5%+ January hiccup – the biggest in well over a year – already in the rearview mirror? The stock/bond ratio provides a dimension not often considered.... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Forecast - Short-Term Gain vs Long-Term Pain
The S&P 500 soothed investors in 2013, but has already caused a fair amount of frustration in 2014. The weight of evidence suggests that 2014 will be a year of continued frustration. Here are the short, mid-and long-term clues.... >> READ MORE...
 
Investment Managers Slash Equity Exposure by 50%
The investment professionals are supposed to have it all figured out and be smarter than the average retail investor. Well, this article is not about smarts, but it shows that the pros don’t feel comfortable sticking to their ‘bullish guns.’... >> READ MORE...
 
What’s Next for S&P 500? Here’s the Good News and the Bad News
Bad news: The S&P 500 has lost 4.36% since its January 2014 all-time high. Good news: The news is so bad; it may actually be good for stocks … at least for a little while. Here's some short-term good news and long-term bad news.... >> READ MORE...
 
2 Monster Stock Market Cycles Project Major S&P 500 Top in 2014
At 58 months of age, the QE bull market is getting old and its ‘immune system’ is obviously getting weak. That’s bad timing as a powerful 7 and 13 year cycle begins to exert extremely bearish force. Can the bull fight off the bear ‘virus’?... >> READ MORE...
 
What Triggered the Stock Market Rout? How Long Will it Last?
The S&P 500 has corrected more than 5% and the financial media is quick to pretend that it saw the lousy 2014 start coming. Here’s the media’s real time (embarrassing) assessment of the ‘expected’ rout along with what’s next.... >> READ MORE...
 
AMZN Slices Below Key Support – With P/E of 1,403 Downside Risk is Enormous
Investors buy Amazon for its founder’s vision and ingenuity, not because the company is a cash cow. The problem with a ‘vision based investment,’ and a four-digit P/E ratio is immense down side risk once momentum wanes.... >> READ MORE...
 
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