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A Different Look at the VIX Shows New All-Time Lows (and Trouble for S&P 500)
Sometimes it takes a different look at an old and stale indicator to squeeze out some additional insight. A look at a price adjusted VIX (compared to the ‘good old VIX’) may do just that.... >> READ MORE...
 
Is Nasdaq Underperformance Bearish for the Whole Stock Market?
Friday was a bad day for stocks, particularly the Nasdaq. The Nasdaq’s underperformance reflects a shift of investor sentiment, but not all is bad. In fact, there’s one short-term silver lining for the Nasdaq.... >> READ MORE...
 
Should We Worry About the 1987 Crash Parallel?
What? Something’s wrong with this headline! Why would you buy if the market is about to crash? Look again. When investors think the market is about to crash, may actually be a good time to buy, if …... >> READ MORE...
 
How TLT ETF Unnecessarily Fooled S&P 500 Investors … and May Do So Again
Like detectives, investors are always searching for clues about the market’s next move. Unfortunately some clues turn out to be misleading. A false Treasury ETF (TLT) breakout just sent investors in the wrong direction … and may do so again. ... >> READ MORE...
 
Why 'Hot New Tech' is Getting Crushed by 'Old Tech'
Until recently, the Nasdaq was driven higher by hot new tech names like Facebook, Priceline and Tesla. Now, ‘hot new tech’ is cooling down while tech dinosaurs are rallying higher. What does this rotation mean?... >> READ MORE...
 
Biotechnology Index Bounces from Key Support
Is red-hot biotech about to cool down? Obviously, biotech already saw a stinging sell off, but important short-term support remains in tact. Here’s the support level, that – once broken – should worry investors.... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Stuck Between Triple Top and Triple Bottom
Since the middle of February the S&P 500 has been stuck between two long-term trend channels, one acting as resistance, one as support. The chart now shows a possible triple bottom or triple top. Which one is it?... >> READ MORE...
 
Nasdaq VIX Soars to 5-Year Extreme
Investors may not be aware that there is a VIX volatility index that measures expected volatility (and fear) for the Nasdaq-100. Currently, investors fear a Nasdaq breakdown much more than an S&P 500 breakdown. In fact, fear is at a 5-year extreme.... >> READ MORE...
 
Short-Term S&P 500 Outlook
Up then down and making everybody frown. That’s been the stock market’s pattern since the beginning of the year. As the worst week of the first quarter is coming to an end, we’ll venture a short-term outlook.... >> READ MORE...
 
Beware of False TLT Treasury ETF Breakout (and S&P 500 breakdown)
The long-term Treasury ETF (TLT) just saw a technical breakout above resistance. This is bullish for TLT (and bearish for stocks), but it may be a premature fake out. Here’s how to get confirmation for a real Treasury breakout.... >> READ MORE...
 
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