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Articles
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday May 23, 2014
The VIX is trading near 7-year lows and two VIX ETFs are at all-time lows. Many are itching to buy the VIX and while such a trade may well be profitable, VIX seasonality provides another layer of information for a low-risk trade.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday May 23, 2014
It’s been rare for the Nasdaq to spend an extended period below the 50-day SMA. On Thursday the Nasdaq Composite (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) closed back above the 50-day SMA for the first time since April 4. Is this bullish or a bull trap?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Wednesday May 21, 2014
There’s a time to buy, a time to sell and a time to be patient. Most of 2014 falls into the ‘be patient’ category. What’s causing this extended trading range and how much longer can it go on?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday May 20, 2014
Here is a look at an indicator that has the distinct reputation of signaling the 2000 and 2007 meltdowns. This indicator obviously has a decent track record, but is today’s environment the same is in 2000 or 2007? Is another crash likely?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday May 16, 2014
Bears are powerful creatures, but they can get scared easily and may suffer from a fear similar to stage fright. Many media outlets have reported sightings of bears, but when everyone expects its appearance, it fails to show.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday May 15, 2014
Health insurance premiums are going up, service is going down. The U.S. healthcare system is sick. Here is my own experience, chronicling the two biggest reason why healthcare costs are spiraling out of control.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday May 15, 2014
Since late 2013, the S&P 500 has been ‘boxed in’ by well-defined support/resistance levels. This explains 4-months of range bound trading activity. Here is the S&P 500 ‘chopping box zone’ along with key near-term support and resistance.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday May 15, 2014
Stock market valuation is one of the most passionately fought arguments on Wall Street: Are stocks cheap or expensive? They can’t be both. Here’s why analysts are disagreeing, and why their valuations may not matter anyway.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday May 13, 2014
Here’s yet another indicator that the Federal Reserve legally ‘manipulates’ the stock market. This chart shows the correlation between the S&P 500 and the 30-day Fed Fund Rate. Based on this unique correlation, stocks should rally (at least temporarily).... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday May 13, 2014
Last week saw the wildest U.S. dollar and euro currency swings in quite a while. The U.S. dollar index fell to new lows, the euro spiked to new highs. Both reversed violently thereafter. Is this the beginning of a trend change?... >> READ MORE...
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