The ‘Fed fund rate indicator’ is one of the few data points that suggested an S&P 500 spike a month ago. Here’s another look at the Fed fund rate and what the accompanying indicator says is next for the S&P 500.... >> READ MORE...

The VIX closed at an 88-month low today. Many have already gotten burnt betting on higher VIX readings, and many more are itching to place their bet. How much lower can the VIX go? That’s probably not the most important issue to worry about.... >> READ MORE...

It’s been a while since we’ve seen bullish sentiment conditions, but this week’s rally pushed two sentiment gauges to multi-year extremes. But, there is reason to view the two extremes in context with the larger sentiment picture.... >> READ MORE...

The Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 are trading at new all-time highs. This makes stocks more expensive, but are stocks too expensive and overvalued? Here is a look at four different valuation metrics.... >> READ MORE...

Although the plain S&P 500 chart is looking strong, there is one deceptive simple warning signal called the ‘hanging man.’ The hanging man is generally bearish, because it represents weakening demand for stocks. ... >> READ MORE...

The stock market is approaching a potentially bullish springboard. Price action has been very positive, but a look ‘under the hood’ shows that confidence in the rally is lacking. Will the market have enough energy to jump higher?... >> READ MORE...

Value investors try to stay away from bubbles, simply because they are value traps. So when a value investing legend calls for a continued bubble with S&P 2,250 as target, it may be worth listening … or is it?... >> READ MORE...

In late April an avalanche of doomsday financial headlines hit the airwaves. The expectations ranged from a 20% correction to an outright crash. A few weeks later the S&P 500 is at new all-time highs. Where is the promised crash?... >> READ MORE...

Sometimes the oddest correlations make the best forward-looking indicators. This is certainly the case with lumber and the housing market. Here’s what this odd but accurate indicator ‘sees’ ahead for U.S. real estate.... >> READ MORE...

This is at least the second double digit million dollar bet on the VIX this year. The first one paid off big, but the odds of this $13 million dollar trade turning profitable aren’t quite as good. Here are four reasons why:... >> READ MORE...