From June 2 to July 10 gold prices surged 8.7%. Commercial traders were the first to get in on this rally and the first to get out. While commercials pulled out, the ‘herd’ (or dumb money) piled in. Could this be a significant gold high?... >> READ MORE...

Talk about a classic catch-22. Central banks around the world are haunted by the very monster they created – low interest rates. This forces them to buy stocks. But, this is not the only reason for relentless stock market highs.... >> READ MORE...

Aside from a 28% ‘glitch’ earlier this year, the social media sector has been on a tear since May. However, this week saw a high volume sell off below various levels of technical support. Will this affect the S&P 500? ... >> READ MORE...

The S&P 500 has been without significant correction for over 1,000 days. According to many, a deep correction is ‘just around the corner’ (and has been around the corner since April). Here’s the only thing that actually may trigger a correction.... >> READ MORE...

After 18 months in the bear market abyss, Apple is back in vogue again. A rally near the prior pre-split all-time high at 705 has ignited many bullish AAPL calls. Is now a good time to buy Apple (AAPL)?... >> READ MORE...

Many forces affect the market and individual stocks. Seasonality is one of them. In fact, AAPL seasonality shows a distinct drop in September, which is when AAPL started its 45% decline. Here’s the full seasonality chart.... >> READ MORE...

MarketWatch reports that most people missed the recent rally? Why? Obviously because nobody saw it coming. Here is one indicator that persistently suggested further gains (this indicator also explains why so many missed the rally).... >> READ MORE...

The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), the same outfit that formulated the VIX, also calculates the odds of a ‘two standard deviation decline,’ or large sudden drop. This ‘sudden drop’ index is at a historic extreme.... >> READ MORE...

The VIX, as we know it, is trading near lows not seen since February 2007. The original VIX, which has a price history going all the way back to 1986, just fell to an all-time low. By this measure volatility has never been lower, the implication is not what many would expect.... >> READ MORE...

More than ever before, investors are looking at various sentiment gauges to get a pulse on the market. After all, excessive optimism correctly foreshadowed every recent crash or correction. But, there’s a big sentiment divergence right now.... >> READ MORE...