Seasonality is not the only force to drive stocks, but it’s one of the indicators I follow. The S&P 500 seasonality chart (based on 64 years of history) shows four notable weak spots, one of them is in February.... >> READ MORE...

I was wrong! I expected the S&P 500 to rally from 1,990 to 2,080 and roll over to new lows. The rally happened, the subsequent reversal did not (at least not yet). Will the S&P 500 roll over later? Here’s an updated S&P 500 forecast.... >> READ MORE...

Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) come in a variety of flavors. There are five different ETP structures and more than 30 different tax treatment combinations. Here’s ONE chart that makes sense of ALL the different tax treatments.... >> READ MORE...

A bull flag is described as a consolidation period that interrupts a sharp, almost vertical rally. QQQ had a sharp rally from the October low and a pro-longed consolidation period thereafter. The classic bull flag breakout target projects a 10% rally.... >> READ MORE...

The SPDR S&P MidCap ETF just soared to new all-time highs. The S&P 500 is still stuck within its trading range. Will the S&P 500 follow the lead of mid-cap stocks or did mid-caps just flash a false signal?... >> READ MORE...

Crude oil prices tumbled 60% since last June, but oil rallied 5% or more each of the last three days and closed 20% above last week’s low. Is this the end of a spectacular oil bear market?... >> READ MORE...

Snap! That’s the sound of investors stepping into the two most recent, ingeniously set S&P 500 booby traps. Buy high, sell low. Here’s a short-term outlook for the S&P 500 along with the next likely booby trap.... >> READ MORE...

Gold has been full of surprises as the humorous chart shows. Since the European Central Bank (ECB) announced QE, gold sold off (although its allegedly the number one inflation hedge). Is gold rolling over again?... >> READ MORE...

Trend following indicators worked like a charm for the trending market of 2013 and 2014, but 2015 is shaping up to be quite different. The times of ‘no 5% correction in over a year’ are over, and the market is working harder on shaking out weak hands.... >> READ MORE...

The Granddaddy of commodity indexes is at major chart support. Although this index tracks 19 different commodities, oil is the MVP and accounts for 23%. Could this be an indication that oil is nearing a bottom.... >> READ MORE...