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Articles
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday March 31, 2015
Option traders – often considered a contrarian indicator - are currently making nearly twice as many bullish as bearish bets. This chart shows how the S&P 500 reacted when this happened before.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday March 26, 2015
The IBB Biotech ETF fell as much as 15% since Friday, and triggered a rare buy signal against key support. The last three times we saw a buy signal like this, IBB rebounded. Will this time be different?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Wednesday March 25, 2015
The three Dow Jones Averages (Industrial, Transportation and Utility) have been pulling in different directions. Utilities are coming off a nine-month low and Transportation is breaking down. How bearish is this?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday March 24, 2015
A comparison of the short and longer-term VIX reveals an extreme degree of short-term complacency (relative to longer-term complacency). The projected outcome – based on an analysis of prior instances – is pretty self-explanatory.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Monday March 23, 2015
After a historic drop, oil prices have gone nowhere for two months. Is the next big move brewing? To find out, we’ll look at the Oil VIX, what the ‘smart money’ is doing, oil seasonality and technicals. ... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday March 20, 2015
It’s been quite a while since we’ve seen any newsworthy sentiment extremes, so the 2-year low in investor optimism is a welcome change. Here’s how the S&P 500 has reacted to similar lack of optimism in the past.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday March 19, 2015
Small cap stocks are often portrayed to be the engine that pulls the train. Throughout 2014 they were lagging, and now they are leading. Is there recent outperformance bullish for the overall market? ... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Wednesday March 18, 2015
During the unstoppable rally of 2013/2014 investors were overly sensitive and panicked almost every time the S&P 500 corrected. The recent selloff however was greeted with almost callus disregard. Is this bearish?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday March 13, 2015
Apple is the most important stock in the investment universe and deserves extra attention. The AAPL chart shows how to navigate the contradiction between bullish AAPL seasonality and the ‘Dow Jones induction curse.’... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday March 13, 2015
It’s not the first time we’ve seen this movie. Stocks fall, and become oversold. Buyers step back in, and erase some of the prior losses. A look at the S&P 500 chart and buying/selling pressure provides clues on whether there’ll be new lows.... >> READ MORE...
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