After a horrible 2014, crude oil prices dropped another 40% just since May. There are a number of reasons for lower oil prices, but one of the few indicators that saw the most recent slump coming is seasonality.... >> READ MORE...

Small cap stocks have been the ‘asset class under achiever’ for much of 2015, however December is typically the best time to own small caps, and they may offer the best tell tale sign for the overall market right now.... >> READ MORE...

There is no such thing as a fail proof trade, but thanks to the unique nature of the VIX and VIX related ETPs, there is a way to legally supercharge the odds of a winning trade. Here are three must know VIX tricks. ... >> READ MORE...

Last week’s S&P 500 chart painted a truly fascinating constellation. Sunday’s Profit Radar Report examined this constellation and provided an opinion based on technicals, seasonality, sentiment and Elliott Wave analysis. Here is Sunday’s Profit Radar Report.... >> READ MORE...

Throughout 2012, 2013 and 2014, investors’ enthusiasm towards stocks has been suspiciously ‘cool.’ This led to inevitable and persistent gains. Are investors getting bullish enough for a major top? Here’s a comparison between today and 2007.... >> READ MORE...

Over the past months we’ve followed the S&P’s year-to-date similarities with 2011 and 2007 (summer meltdown followed by strong rally). Now, a condition has emerged that puts the S&P on track to follow the 2007 market top pattern.... >> READ MORE...

For the first time since the 2009 bull market started, liquidity is starting to dry up. Here is a closer look at the indicator that foreshadowed the 1987, 2000, and 2007 market tops and what it is saying about the strength of this rally.... >> READ MORE...

Back in September, I went out on a limb and declared 2,040 as price target and later on ‘make it or break it’ zone. The S&P 500 reached 2,040. Although the S&P’s reaction around 2,040 may look like a non-event, 2,040 did what it was supposed to.... >> READ MORE...

VIX seasonality has been the most powerful VIX forecasting tool in recent years. Historically, there are two particularly promising VIX entry and exit point. We are coming up on one of them. Here’s a closer look:... >> READ MORE...

Is there such a thing as a ‘black swan’ indicator? Yes, there is. It is calculated by the same outfit that publishes the popular VIX (CBOE). How accurate is this indicator, and what exactly is a ‘black swan’ event?... >> READ MORE...