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Articles
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday June 14, 2016
The VIX has carved out three highly unusual patterns over the past week, which makes the recent VIX behavior unprecedented. What caused this VIX anomaly, and what does it mean going forward? ... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Wednesday June 08, 2016
At the start of the month, several headlines labeled June as the worst month for markets. As so often, the market proved the media wrong. Will stocks reverse lower after the crowded trade has been fooled?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday June 07, 2016
According to a recent study featured by the Wall Street Journal, investors (retail and institutional) have to accept ever more risk for reasonable returns. Here is one way to reduce risk and increase returns.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday June 02, 2016
True to their seasonal patterns and sentiment forces, silver and gold fell sharply over the last few weeks. The metals retraced between 38.2 – 50% of their prior gains. The risk/reward for buyers has become more attractive, but …... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday June 02, 2016
Bears (especially the perma-bear species) just can’t gain any traction. Here are at least three reasons why bears have a shot at taking control along with two misconceptions that me hurt indiscriminate bears.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Monday May 23, 2016
This looked liked a no-brainer: A break below this very obvious support confirmed by probably the most popular technical pattern for novice investors would surely lead to a breakdown. But … it hasn’t (yet). Here’s why:... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday May 19, 2016
We’ve been watching this S&P 500 support/resistance line since November 2014. The S&P tested it 10 times in the past few weeks alone … and finally succumbed to down side pressure. How significant is this break?... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Thursday May 19, 2016
Crude oil prices almost doubled since the February low. Strong gains and a ‘golden cross’ (50-day SMA crossed above 200-day SMA) convinced some technical analysts of more gains. Is the delayed bullishness a bearish sign? ... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Friday May 13, 2016
For the first time in a while, indicators suggest a dangerous level of complacency among investors. How so? Option traders are worried about longer-term volatility, but unconcerned about near-term volatility.... >> READ MORE...
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By Simon Maierhofer | Tuesday May 10, 2016
There hasn’t been a truly noteworthy investor sentiment extreme since the January/February lows, when the Profit Radar Report recommended buying. We are now seeing a sentiment reading that is highly unusual.... >> READ MORE...
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