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2021 S&P 500 Forecast, Bitcoin, Gold
The 2021 S&P 500 Forecast, with an actual price projection based the five most powerful indicators and the Risk/Reward Heat Map, is now available, along with an update on gold and Bitcoin.... >> READ MORE...
 
Gold Forecast
Gold erased all the gains of last year’s blow off top and is exactly where it was 6 month ago. Does that mean the gold rally is over? A look at the 10 most closely correlated gold price patterns provides some clues. ... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Update
To make educated investment decisions one needs to have data (=knowledge) and interpret that data without being clouded by emotions or biases. Here is some interesting data and an even more interesting interpretation.... >> READ MORE...
 
Epic Stock Market Tug-of-war
Two weeks ago our research suggested that the stock market will grind higher despite record high investor optimism (which is usually bearish for stocks). This article discusses how long the grind up may continue.... >> READ MORE...
 
Stock Market Risk is Clashing Against Historically Strong Reward Potential
Stock market euphoria is back, and as we saw earlier this year, euphoria is often followed by despair. However, this time may be different, and here is why:... >> READ MORE...
 
Stock Market Signals Are Piling Up
A ton has happened the last two weeks, but you wouldn't know it by looking at the S&P 500 chart. Technical resistance has kept the trading range it place, and yet there’ve been a number of historically rare signals.... >> READ MORE...
 
Will the ‘Election Pop’ Last?
Another first! Wednesday delivered the biggest post presidential election Tuesday pop ever! The S&P 500 gained 2.2%, yet only 45% of NYSE volume went into advancing stocks and only 55% of NYSE-traded stocks actually closed the day higher. ... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Update - The Sports Illustrated Jinx and Mean Reversion
After gracing the cover of Sports Illustrated, athletes often experience a performance slump (the Sports Illustrated Jinx). As explained here, mean reversion is a much more likely cause than ‘jinx.’ The S&P 500 may have just experienced a ‘reverse jinx.’... >> READ MORE...
 
Confession: I didn’t See this Coming. Why?
Confession time: Although I saw a big rally from the March low, even new all-time highs, I did not foresee such a relentless rally to new all-time highs without pullback. However, the recent drop confirmed the concerns I had all along.... >> READ MORE...
 
What Do Those Rare Stock Market Anomalies Mean?
Over the past weeks, the stock market has delivered anomalies rarely seen before. I. e., the S&P 500 has rallied with more stocks advancing that declining, or the S&P has rallied along with the VIX. How did stocks do when this happened in the past?... >> READ MORE...
 
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