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Gold Update - Why Didn’t Panic Send Gold Higher?
Stocks and humanity are in turmoil like never before. During times of panic, gold is supposed to provide a ’safe haven.’ This, however, has not been the case. In fact, one indicator predicted gold would fail miserably as ‘safe haven.’... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Update - Panic in Context
The S&P 500 just suffered its quickest loss from an all-time high ever. The damage thus far: -26%. There is fear, there is panic, there is ‘blood in the streets.’ Based on history, how bad can it get?... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Update - Will Panic Lead to Bear Market?
Talk about taking the stairs up and elevator down. This week the S&P 500 erased 85 days worth of gains. Coming from an all-time high, that’s never happened before. What does it mean for stocks going forward?... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Update - Was Risk Flushed Out?
Our models projected elevated risk of a pullback for late January … and the S&P 500 just lost and gained more than 100 points in less than 2 weeks. Does this mean that risk has been flushed out, or should we expect renewed weakness?... >> READ MORE...
 
Risk/Reward Heat Map Methodology
Imagine having a simply graphic that visually illustrates when to expect the most stock market risk or the best reward. The Risk/Reward Heat Map is a sophisticated stock market ‘pros and cons’ list that visually expresses risk and reward.... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Update: Epic Tug-of-War
Looking at the universe of stock market indicators, we are seeing two kind of legitimate extremes right now: Momentum has rarely been stronger. Sentiment has rarely been more bullish (which is bearish for stocks). Here is a new tool to assess risk vs reward.... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500: Short-and Long-term Risk vs Reward Analysis
The S&P 500 had closed above it’s 10-day SMA for 36 days, one of the longest momentum streaks ever, but then erased 1 month of gains in only 3 days. What’s the risk and reward going forward?... >> READ MORE...
 
Comprehensive S&P 500 Update
After weeks of slow and incremental gains, the S&P 500 has tagged trend line resistance going back more than 12 years. In the process, the S&P carved out some bearish divergences. Will this prevent a move above resistance and further gains?... >> READ MORE...
 
Russell 2000 stuck between breadth thrust and death cross
Last month, the Russell 2000 index of small company stocks saw a rare (and consistently) bullish breadth thrust. Although we anticipated it may fail or delay, the Russell 2000 suffered a ‘death cross’ just 16 days later. Which of the two signals is stronger?... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Update - Trading Range Breaks
Up until yesterday, the S&P 500 was trapped in a tight and boring trading range. Does the emphatic drop below that range mean recession fears will catch up with stocks?... >> READ MORE...
 
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