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S&P 500 Update
At the start of the month, several headlines labeled June as the worst month for markets. As so often, the market proved the media wrong. Will stocks reverse lower after the crowded trade has been fooled?... >> READ MORE...
 
How to Minimize the Risk Associated with Higher Returns
According to a recent study featured by the Wall Street Journal, investors (retail and institutional) have to accept ever more risk for reasonable returns. Here is one way to reduce risk and increase returns.... >> READ MORE...
 
Risk/Reward for Gold and Silver is Getting More Attractive, But …
True to their seasonal patterns and sentiment forces, silver and gold fell sharply over the last few weeks. The metals retraced between 38.2 – 50% of their prior gains. The risk/reward for buyers has become more attractive, but …... >> READ MORE...
 
Bears Get Another Shot at Taking Stocks Down
Bears (especially the perma-bear species) just can’t gain any traction. Here are at least three reasons why bears have a shot at taking control along with two misconceptions that me hurt indiscriminate bears.... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Abuses Popular Pattern to Fool Investors
This looked liked a no-brainer: A break below this very obvious support confirmed by probably the most popular technical pattern for novice investors would surely lead to a breakdown. But … it hasn’t (yet). Here’s why:... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Breaks Below Support
We’ve been watching this S&P 500 support/resistance line since November 2014. The S&P tested it 10 times in the past few weeks alone … and finally succumbed to down side pressure. How significant is this break?... >> READ MORE...
 
How High Can Oil Go?
Crude oil prices almost doubled since the February low. Strong gains and a ‘golden cross’ (50-day SMA crossed above 200-day SMA) convinced some technical analysts of more gains. Is the delayed bullishness a bearish sign? ... >> READ MORE...
 
Volatility Ratio Shows Dangerous Complacency
For the first time in a while, indicators suggest a dangerous level of complacency among investors. How so? Option traders are worried about longer-term volatility, but unconcerned about near-term volatility.... >> READ MORE...
 
Some Investor Sentiment Indicators Show Excessive Pessimism
There hasn’t been a truly noteworthy investor sentiment extreme since the January/February lows, when the Profit Radar Report recommended buying. We are now seeing a sentiment reading that is highly unusual.... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Update – Two Cookies Now?
The S&P 500 has been stuck in a trading range for 33 trading days. When will it end? Here is what supply & demand, investor sentiment, technical analysis and seasonality say along with a S&P 500 projection.... >> READ MORE...
 
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