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Stocks Overvalued Compared to Bonds
US Treasury bonds have been in a down trend since late January. 30-year Treasury futures lost as much as 9.15%. Ironically, this makes Treasuries more attractive compared to stocks, and vice versa.... >> READ MORE...
 
Investors are Record Neutral on Stocks
Bullish or bearish sentiment extremes are more headline grabbing, but this is worth noting as well. The percentage of neutral (neither bullish nor bearish) investors just hit a 12-year high. This chart shows what this means.... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Chart: Most Persuasive Argument for Bull Market End Yet, But ...
Although there are plenty of ‘bull market assassins,’ the bull keeps on running. This 20-year S&P 500 chart presents the biggest argument yet that stocks are ready to roll over at any time, but …... >> READ MORE...
 
Crude Oil Analysis Update
Crude oil prices bounced as much as 47.5% since March, but have taken a breather lately. Goldman sees $45 crude by October, but this is in direct conflict with other indicators (seasonality being one of them). Here is a crude oil update.... >> READ MORE...
 
Watch RSI for a Possible S&P 500 Breakout
The S&P 500 is at the very top of its trading range, and bumping up against an 18-year old resistance level. Will it be able to break out? Can a breakout last? Here is a look at two indicators that have been spot on for months.... >> READ MORE...
 
 
Surprising Bearish Sentiment Extremes are Popping Up
This is somewhat surprising. Although stocks are trading in a tight range within striking distance of their all-time highs, some bearish (bullish for stocks) sentiment readings are popping up.... >> READ MORE...
 
This is the First Time the Dow Jones has Done This in 105 Years
Talk about a giant dirt nap. The Dow Jones hasn’t gone anywhere since December. In fact, by one measure, the Dow Jones just had the longest period of inactivity ever seen.... >> READ MORE...
 
Short-term S&P 500 Forecast
Yawn! That’s been the status quo for the last four months. The S&P today is exactly where it was on December 26. All ranges end eventually (often with a bang) and here’s a look at the tell tale signs that foreshadowed recent weakness.... >> READ MORE...
 
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